The Met Office’s Hadley Center has predicted that an average summer in central Europe will be more than 4°C warmer by 2100 than before humans started burning fossil fuels at scale. The researchers said they are confident in their analysis because they found a “very satisfactory” alignment between recorded average temperatures since 1850 and numbers predicted by computer models. The Climate Crisis Advisory Group (CCAG), which commissioned the research, called the data an “urgent reminder” of the need for countries to go “well beyond” their climate plans, known as nationally determined contributions (NDCs), which together aim to limit global warming to an ideal of 1.5°C. The analysis shows that “even if countries stick to their commitments to cut emissions they have made so far, the situation is still getting worse, with weather in Europe predicted to be even more extreme than seen this summer “, said the former chief scientific officer of the government. consultant and chairman of CCAG Sir David King. Almost two-thirds of Europe and much of England are currently experiencing a drought that is affecting food and electricity production, partly because of the heat. Extreme heat in July broke records in England, Scotland and France. “These data do not fully explain the instability of the Arctic, which we now know is a global tipping point that could have major cascading consequences for the entire planet,” Sir David warned. He said it was “very clear” that countries should not only meet their NDCs, but consider raising them. Use Chrome browser for more accessible video player 2:26 Rhine close to drying up His warning comes as countries prepare to discuss international climate action at a series of diplomatic meetings this fall, including at the United Nations General Assembly and the Group of 20 developed and emerging economies. At the COP27 climate summit in Egypt in November, countries will scrutinize each other’s progress since COP26 in Glasgow last year and whether they are implementing their climate plans. CCAG argues that mitigation measures must include three things: reducing emissions, removing existing emissions in massive amounts, and repairing “broken parts of the climate system, starting with the Arctic.” Read more: Switzerland’s glaciers melt by half in less than a centuryAlmost 900 people died due to July heatwave? She repeated her calls from last year to refreeze the Arctic, which is warming much faster than the rest of the world, exacerbating other extreme weather events around the world. “Only through mitigating measures of reduction, removal and remediation, pursued with equal vigor and urgency, can we hope to turn away from the path to destruction we are currently on and achieve a manageable future for humanity,” Sir. David added. Today’s warning coincides with another study which predicts that countries in mid-latitudes – including the UK, US and most of the European Union and Central Asia – will experience deadly heat waves every year by 2100.
